Recurring Revenue Trapsmart_display

Published: May 28, 2026

Great model. Bad deal.

Recurring Revenue Trap

This fire safety service business has something most buyers chase — 95% recurring revenue.

Inspections and fire suppression systems that legally must be serviced every year.

On paper, that should make this a great deal.

But once you run the numbers, it falls apart.


Deal Snapshot

Asking Price$1,750,000
Cash Flow$300,000
Profit Margin30%
Revenue$1,000,000
Cash Flow Multiple5.83x

After Financing

Here’s what you actually keep:

Annual Debt Service$240,000
DSCR1.19
Net Cash Flow$60,000

You’re buying a $1.75M business… to make about $60K per year.

That’s the entire issue.


Where It Breaks

This deal is massively overpriced for what it produces.

  • 5.83x multiple vs ~2–3x industry norm
  • Only $60K post-debt cash flow
  • ~5 year payback on down payment
  • Recent 40% growth may not be sustainable

They’re pricing this like a premium, high-performing operation — but the returns don’t match.


Financing Reality

This is where most buyers get stuck.

At a standard 10% down payment, the DSCR is only 1.19 — below lender requirements.

To make this deal work, you’d need to bring over 16% down, or nearly $300K.

So now you’re putting in $300K… to make $60K.

That’s not leverage — that’s a weak return.


What Actually Looks Good

To be clear — the business model itself is strong.

  • 95% recurring revenue
  • Legally required services (non-discretionary)
  • Established since 1979
  • Stable, repeat customer base

This is exactly the type of business buyers want.

But great businesses still make bad deals at the wrong price.


What This Really Is

This is a classic example of:

  • Strong underlying business
  • High-quality revenue
  • Completely broken entry price

Recurring revenue doesn’t justify overpaying.


BizHub Verdict

This deal scores a 2.9 / 10.

Great business model — but the valuation destroys the return.

Recurring revenue is powerful… but only if you don’t overpay for it.

Want to pressure test deals like this? Run your numbers →

Want to see the original listing? View it here →