Good systems, full team, manager in place… but the numbers don’t justify the price.
This FedEx linehaul trucking business is listed at $2.24M, generating about $2.78M in revenue and $497K in cash flow.
It includes 10 routes, a full fleet, a team of drivers, and a manager in place.
On paper, it looks like a clean, semi-absentee logistics operation.
But once you run the numbers, the deal falls apart.
Deal Snapshot
Let’s run it through a standard SBA-style scenario.
Financing Overview
After debt, you’re left with about $167K per year.
For a $2.2M deal, that’s weak.
Where It Breaks
You’re paying too much for what you’re getting.
- Overpriced: 4.5x vs ~2.7x industry average.
- Below-average margins: 17.9% vs ~23.1%.
- Thin post-debt income: ~$167K on $2.2M price.
- Limited cushion: DSCR only 1.55.
You’re paying premium pricing for below-average performance.
The Illusion
This looks like a “hands-off” business.
But trucking doesn’t work that way.
- Driver management: Hiring, retention, scheduling.
- Fleet risk: Maintenance, breakdowns, replacements.
- Contract dependence: FedEx controls the relationship.
- Cost volatility: Fuel, labor, insurance.
Manager in place helps — but it doesn’t remove the risk.
Industry Risk
This is not a low-risk sector.
- Higher default rate: ~5.6% vs ~3.6% overall.
- Margin pressure: Costs can shift quickly.
- Contract risk: Terms can change over time.
Even “stable” routes come with real exposure.
What This Really Is
This is a solid operation with weak deal structure.
- Good systems
- Experienced team
- But overpriced entry point
The business may work — the deal doesn’t.
BizHub Verdict
This deal scores a 4.7 / 10.
Operationally solid — but the valuation and thin returns make this a weak investment.
Good business. Bad price.
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